Financial Planning

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Guides and articles on FIRE strategies, retirement planning, net worth projections, and building wealth. Practical insights to help you make informed financial decisions.

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When Historical Tools Beat Ours (and When Parametric Is Enough)

Decision guide: when FIRECalc, cFIREsim, or ProjectionLab historical replay fits better—and when our free parametric Monte Carlo is enough. Neither method wins by slogan.

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Inflation Assumptions: Why 2% vs 3% Changes Your FIRE Date

Why a 2% vs 3% inflation setting changes purchasing-power and how your FIRE timeline looks. Real vs nominal returns, today’s dollars on the projector, and how to toggle inflation in the app—no fake year tables.

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One Household, Two Earners: Modeling Dual Income Without Spreadsheet Hell

Model two incomes, two 401(k)s, and shared expenses in one household plan. Live Dual-income 30s FIRE sample—$60k start, 32→47, $1.5M goal—without spreadsheet chaos or tax claims.

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Expected Return and Volatility: The Two Knobs That Move Monte Carlo

On this site’s parametric Monte Carlo, expected return centers the Gaussian and volatility widens the fan. See how success rate and percentile bands move—100–1,000 runs, Box-Muller.

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Net Worth Projection for Beginners: Assets, Debt, and the Timeline

Beginner guide to net worth projection—assets, debts, income and spending events, 1–60 year timelines, inflation, and export/share. Blank launch, Own → Save → Goal wizard, optional House + Student Loans sample.

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Flexible Spending vs a Fixed Withdrawal Rate (Without Fancy Rules)

Fixed 4%/3.5% SWR vs cutting spending in bad years—plain English. Why rigid Monte Carlo and a 100% success chase can be too stingy when you can flex.

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What If I Retire 5 Years Earlier (or Later)?

Same plan, shift retirement ±5 years: more contribution years vs more withdrawal years, plus sequence risk. Dual-income sample ages—change the year in the app.

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Walkthrough: Load a Sample Plan and Read the Chart in 5 Minutes

Open the blank calculator, finish or skip Own → Save → Goal, load Retired at 52 as a separate plan, and learn the net worth line, years, and What-If in five minutes—without treating sample returns as forecasts.

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Am I Coast FIRE? A One-Minute Check

A one-minute Coast FIRE check: full FIRE number, years to target, a return you can defend, then the Coast FIRE calculator (or zero contributions on a projection). Optional Teacher Coast FIRE sample.

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Years to FI: What a Higher Savings Rate Actually Buys You

A higher savings rate shortens years to FI two ways: more invested each month and often a smaller spend target. Dual-income sample math—not a slogan chart.

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What Does an 85% Chance of Success Actually Mean?

An 85% Monte Carlo success rate is a count of model paths, not a promise. Fixed 7% vs a fan of paths, why ~80–90% is common, why 100% is often too stingy.

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What Is My FIRE Number? The 25× Math (and When You Need More)

Your FIRE number is annual spending ÷ SWR — 25× at 4%, ~28.6× at 3.5%, ~33× at 3%. Identity math, a $40k example, and how savings rate shortens years to FI.

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How Long Will My Money Last? Runway, Withdrawals, and Why Averages Lie

How long will my money last in retirement? A smooth 7% line can look fine while an early crash shortens the runway. Open a 40-year sample, then stress-test it.

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Lean FIRE vs Fat FIRE: Same Calculator, Two Spend Levels

Lean FIRE vs Fat FIRE is about how much you spend — not whether you keep working after a savings milestone. Run the same FIRE calculator at two expense levels and see both stash sizes.

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Parametric vs Historical Monte Carlo: Which Simulation Should You Use?

Two retirement calculators can both say "Monte Carlo" and still be doing different jobs. One draws random yearly returns from a statistical curve. The other replays actual historical market sequences. Neither is objectively better. This article explains the difference so you pick the method that matches the question you're asking.

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Sequence of Returns: Why a Crash in Year 1 Hits Harder Than Year 5 or Year 10

Two retirees can start with identical savings and earn identical average returns. They can still finish far apart. The difference is when the bad years happen. A drop in year 1 is far more damaging than the same drop later. This article explains why and shows how to stress-test your own plan.

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4% vs 3.5% SWR for Early Retirees: Horizon Changes the Math

The 4% rule assumed a ~30-year retirement. For 40–50 year FIRE, Bengen's 1994 paper pointed to 3–3.5%. This article compares 25x vs ~29x expenses, explains the original research, and shows how to stress-test both withdrawal rates with your own numbers.

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Coast FIRE vs Barista FIRE: Which Path to Financial Independence Is Right for You?

Not every path to financial independence requires grinding until you hit a seven-figure portfolio. Coast FIRE and Barista FIRE offer two distinct ways to reduce financial stress earlier in life — but they work very differently. This guide breaks down both strategies and helps you figure out which fits your situation.

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